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The Duffel Brief · the free edition, Monday, Wednesday and Friday

Vol. 15 · No. 120 · Thursday, 8 October 2026

Pentagon

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Vol. 15 · No. 120 · Deployed worldwide

Thursday

8 October 2026

1245 Zulu

Next edition Friday

← Front page
Intel · Page 2

"Nailed it!", says Intel officer who assessed Middle East violence as "possible"

This kid is going places.

Filed · 0637

Lt. Creek explains to useless old people how he saw it all coming.

TRAVIS AFB, Calif. – 1st Lt. Mike “Nostradamus” Creek is running a victory lap after having “basically predicted the war going on now” following a Hamas surprise attack on Israel that has killed hundreds of civilians and Israeli security forces. Multiple sources report that as recently as last week, the Lt. briefed the 60th Air Mobility Wing commander that the possibility of some form of violence in the Middle East was “possible.”

“It’s eerie,” said Capt. Tammy Wells, the Wing intel chief, and Creek’s supervisor. “How could he have known that there was a chance that something violent could happen there? I guess he has a gift.”

Creek joined the Wing’s intel section at the beginning of 2023 as an all-source analyst. Even though he was assigned the monotonous duty of maintaining the “Rest of World” slide, the junior officer had a sense “something was up” in the Middle East.

“Yeah, most everyone thinks it’s a quiet corner of the world,” said Creek, “But it was like I had a crystal ball. I just knew something might possibly happen in Israel, or Syria, or Egypt, or Jordan. Is Turkey in the Middle East? Because I had a feeling about that place too.”

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